How did the BC NDP do overall in Monday's vote count?

Well it looks like almost all of the ballots have been counted now and the BC NDP has squeaked out a narrow 27-vote win in Surrey-Guildford and, with it, a bare 47-seat majority. As of 6:30 p.m. on Monday, Oct. 28, here's how things stand on my Google Spreadsheet tracker:

These results could change slightly in the hours to come but are probably pretty close to the final result now. Surrey-Guildford will likely go to a judicial recount. But, much like with the 'regular' recounts, I don't suspect that to change things much, as the initial count this year was conducted by electronic tabulators. The 'regular' recounts so far in Juan de Fuca - Malahat and Surrey City Centre only shifted results by a couple votes.

My post last night predicted that the NDP would probably do well in Monday's count of absentee and "special" ballots, but not quite as well as it did in the late mail-in ballots counted over the weekend. And it looks like that's the case, though they did a bit better in Monday's count than I was expecting:

While the NDP had a 22-percentage-point margin over the Conservatives in the late mail-in ballots, they "only" won the absentee and special ballots by 16 points. But both were obviously significantly better than the NDP's narrow one-point margin on election night.

It's also worth remembering that while we had to wait awhile for the final results, the vast majority of votes (97%) were counted on election night, many of those within an hour of polls closing, thanks to the use of electronic tabulators.

Thanks to all of you who followed by analysis over the past week. I may dig into more data as it becomes available. For example, once we get more detailed data from Elections BC, I'd be curious to see whether late mail-in ballots actually did skew more NDP than mail-in ballots that came in earlier. (Was my procrastinators-lean-left theory correct?) But those big data dumps are probably weeks or months away.